Do High-Scoring Football Leagues Have More BTTS?
Original Football Data Research
Do leagues with more goals also produce more matches in which both teams score? We analysed 80,296 football matches across 50 domestic leagues between July 2021 and June 2026 to find out.
- Average goals per match and BTTS rates are strongly associated at league level (Pearson r = 0.91).
- Switzerland’s Super League has the highest BTTS rate in this sample (62.8%), while Germany’s Bundesliga records the highest average goals (3.18).
- Switzerland’s Super League and the Dutch Eredivisie average almost the same number of goals (3.06 vs 3.07), yet their BTTS rates differ by 6.2 percentage points.
- 40.0% of all matches satisfied both BTTS and Over 2.5 goals.
Does scoring more goals mean more BTTS?
Generally, yes, but not always. Across these 50 leagues, the correlation between the average number of goals per match and the percentage of full-time BTTS matches is 0.91. That is a strong positive association, not a prediction for individual fixtures.
The markets measure different outcomes. A 4-0 result contributes four goals but fails BTTS. A 1-1 draw qualifies for BTTS with only two total goals. League scoring averages therefore do not tell the full story.
The relationship between goals and BTTS across 50 leagues
Each dot represents one domestic league. Grey dots are other leagues, teal and gold highlight the examples discussed below.
Average goals per match →
Similar goals, different BTTS: Switzerland vs the Netherlands
Two high-scoring competitions illustrate why BTTS and goals per match should be analysed separately.
The difference: 6.2 percentage points in BTTS, despite just 0.01 goals separating their averages. The distribution of goals between the teams matters, not just the overall total.
For up-to-date comparisons and more filtering options, visit Footiqo’s BTTS statistics by league and league goals statistics. Those dashboards cover different time frames from this fixed historical study.
How often do BTTS and Over 2.5 happen together?
There are four possible combinations. Breaking them apart shows more than either market in isolation.
Four ways a football match can finish
Distribution of all 80,296 matches in the domestic-league sample.
Across the whole sample, 52.3% of matches recorded BTTS and 49.9% exceeded 2.5 goals. Among BTTS matches, approximately 76.5% also had Over 2.5 goals; the rest ended 1-1. Looking from the other direction, approximately 80.2% of Over 2.5 matches also had BTTS. These conditional shares use rounded aggregate percentages and are approximate.
Which leagues have the highest BTTS rates?
Switzerland’s Super League leads our sample, followed by Australia’s A-League, the German Bundesliga, MLS and Denmark’s Superliga. Each competition has at least 400 matches in the study window.
| Pos. | Country | League | Matches | Goals / match | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | Super League | 1,041 | 3.06 | 62.8 % |
| 2 | Australia | A-League | 832 | 3.07 | 60.6 % |
| 3 | Germany | Bundesliga | 1,529 | 3.18 | 60.1 % |
| 4 | USA | MLS | 2,624 | 2.98 | 59.9 % |
| 5 | Denmark | Superliga | 965 | 2.89 | 59.0 % |
A high league-wide BTTS rate does not necessarily translate into a profitable betting strategy. Odds, market margin, match selection and changes over time all matter. Our research on football favourites looks at a related question: how observed results compare with betting prices.
How do the Big Five compare?
Germany’s Bundesliga is the highest-scoring and highest-BTTS league among the five selected major European leagues. LaLiga and Serie A have lower BTTS and Over 2.5 rates across the period.
BTTS vs Over 2.5 across Europe’s Big Five
Five top-flight domestic competitions, historical full-time results.
Full results: 50 domestic football leagues
The following table contains every eligible league, ranked by BTTS rate. The final four columns also show the four outcome combinations explained above. On a phone, scroll sideways to see all figures.
| # | Country | League | Matches | Goals / match | BTTS % | Over 2.5 % | BTTS + O2.5 % | BTTS only % | O2.5 only % | Neither % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | Super League | 1,041 | 3.06 | 62.8 | 58.8 | 49.1 | 13.7 | 9.7 | 27.5 |
| 2 | Australia | A-League | 832 | 3.07 | 60.6 | 59.4 | 49.3 | 11.3 | 10.1 | 29.3 |
| 3 | Germany | Bundesliga | 1,529 | 3.18 | 60.1 | 61.0 | 48.3 | 11.8 | 12.7 | 27.2 |
| 4 | USA | MLS | 2,624 | 2.98 | 59.9 | 58.2 | 48.9 | 11.0 | 9.3 | 30.8 |
| 5 | Denmark | Superliga | 965 | 2.89 | 59.0 | 55.0 | 46.5 | 12.4 | 8.5 | 32.5 |
| 6 | Germany | 2. Bundesliga | 1,530 | 2.98 | 58.6 | 59.1 | 47.2 | 11.4 | 11.9 | 29.5 |
| 7 | Norway | Eliteserien | 1,213 | 3.09 | 58.4 | 60.8 | 47.9 | 10.5 | 12.9 | 28.8 |
| 8 | Netherlands | Eerste Divisie | 1,936 | 3.08 | 58.1 | 60.5 | 48.2 | 9.9 | 12.3 | 29.5 |
| 9 | Germany | 3. Liga | 1,892 | 2.92 | 58.0 | 55.5 | 45.6 | 12.4 | 9.9 | 32.1 |
| 10 | Netherlands | Eredivisie | 1,550 | 3.07 | 56.6 | 59.2 | 45.5 | 11.1 | 13.6 | 29.7 |
| 11 | Turkey | Super Lig | 1,718 | 2.85 | 56.4 | 54.2 | 44.1 | 12.3 | 10.1 | 33.5 |
| 12 | China | Super League | 1,283 | 2.95 | 56.3 | 56.1 | 44.3 | 12.0 | 11.8 | 31.9 |
| 13 | Mexico | Liga MX | 1,699 | 2.74 | 55.7 | 52.6 | 43.1 | 12.6 | 9.4 | 34.8 |
| 14 | Austria | Bundesliga | 975 | 2.78 | 55.7 | 53.1 | 42.3 | 13.4 | 10.9 | 33.4 |
| 15 | England | Premier League | 1,900 | 2.93 | 55.3 | 56.6 | 44.3 | 11.1 | 12.3 | 32.4 |
| 16 | France | Ligue 1 | 1,676 | 2.82 | 55.2 | 53.6 | 43.6 | 11.6 | 10.0 | 34.8 |
| 17 | Belgium | Jupiler Pro League | 1,592 | 2.84 | 54.5 | 53.8 | 42.7 | 11.8 | 11.1 | 34.4 |
| 18 | Russia | Premier League | 1,199 | 2.72 | 54.2 | 51.0 | 41.8 | 12.4 | 9.3 | 36.5 |
| 19 | Saudi Arabia | Saudi Professional League | 1,397 | 2.87 | 54.1 | 54.7 | 42.9 | 11.2 | 11.7 | 34.1 |
| 20 | Poland | Ekstraklasa | 1,529 | 2.67 | 54.0 | 48.9 | 40.3 | 13.7 | 8.6 | 37.3 |
| 21 | Slovenia | Prva liga | 879 | 2.74 | 53.4 | 50.7 | 40.7 | 12.6 | 10.0 | 36.6 |
| 22 | Chile | Liga de Primera | 1,271 | 2.68 | 53.0 | 51.2 | 42.2 | 10.8 | 9.0 | 38.0 |
| 23 | Czech Republic | Chance Liga | 1,380 | 2.78 | 52.8 | 53.5 | 42.0 | 10.9 | 11.5 | 35.7 |
| 24 | Italy | Serie B | 1,946 | 2.47 | 52.7 | 44.9 | 37.5 | 15.2 | 7.5 | 39.9 |
| 25 | Sweden | Allsvenskan | 1,216 | 2.81 | 52.6 | 53.5 | 41.5 | 11.1 | 12.0 | 35.4 |
| 26 | Portugal | Liga Portugal 2 | 1,530 | 2.51 | 52.6 | 46.7 | 39.4 | 13.2 | 7.3 | 40.1 |
| 27 | Spain | LaLiga | 1,900 | 2.59 | 51.8 | 47.4 | 38.3 | 13.5 | 9.1 | 39.1 |
| 28 | England | League Two | 2,785 | 2.57 | 51.5 | 47.2 | 38.9 | 12.5 | 8.3 | 40.3 |
| 29 | Italy | Serie A | 1,901 | 2.61 | 51.4 | 48.9 | 38.6 | 12.8 | 10.3 | 38.3 |
| 30 | England | Championship | 2,785 | 2.53 | 51.1 | 47.5 | 38.2 | 12.9 | 9.3 | 39.6 |
| 31 | Peru | Liga 1 | 1,630 | 2.64 | 50.9 | 49.3 | 39.3 | 11.6 | 10.0 | 39.1 |
| 32 | England | League One | 2,785 | 2.61 | 50.9 | 49.2 | 38.9 | 12.0 | 10.3 | 38.8 |
| 33 | Scotland | Premiership | 1,140 | 2.78 | 50.8 | 53.7 | 40.4 | 10.4 | 13.3 | 35.9 |
| 34 | Japan | J1 League | 1,759 | 2.54 | 50.5 | 46.6 | 38.0 | 12.6 | 8.6 | 40.9 |
| 35 | Serbia | Mozzart Bet Super Liga | 1,478 | 2.66 | 50.1 | 51.0 | 39.6 | 10.6 | 11.4 | 38.4 |
| 36 | Ecuador | Liga Pro | 1,295 | 2.50 | 50.0 | 45.5 | 36.4 | 13.5 | 9.0 | 41.0 |
| 37 | Spain | LaLiga2 | 2,338 | 2.36 | 49.7 | 42.9 | 36.4 | 13.2 | 6.4 | 43.9 |
| 38 | Brazil | Serie A | 2,009 | 2.44 | 49.4 | 44.8 | 36.0 | 13.4 | 8.8 | 41.8 |
| 39 | Portugal | Liga Portugal | 1,529 | 2.65 | 49.3 | 51.0 | 38.1 | 11.2 | 12.9 | 37.8 |
| 40 | Scotland | Championship | 900 | 2.59 | 49.0 | 48.8 | 36.9 | 12.1 | 11.9 | 39.1 |
| 41 | Croatia | HNL | 900 | 2.59 | 48.9 | 49.3 | 37.7 | 11.2 | 11.7 | 39.4 |
| 42 | Romania | Superliga | 1,582 | 2.43 | 48.5 | 42.7 | 35.0 | 13.5 | 7.7 | 43.8 |
| 43 | France | Ligue 2 | 1,743 | 2.45 | 48.4 | 45.3 | 37.1 | 11.4 | 8.2 | 43.4 |
| 44 | Colombia | Primera A | 2,210 | 2.28 | 47.8 | 40.1 | 33.2 | 14.6 | 6.9 | 45.3 |
| 45 | Greece | Super League | 1,190 | 2.54 | 47.2 | 48.4 | 35.4 | 11.8 | 13.0 | 39.7 |
| 46 | Egypt | Premier League | 1,462 | 2.18 | 45.0 | 38.4 | 31.4 | 13.6 | 7.0 | 48.0 |
| 47 | Ukraine | Premier League | 1,100 | 2.47 | 44.9 | 44.8 | 33.4 | 11.5 | 11.5 | 43.6 |
| 48 | Brazil | Serie B | 1,976 | 2.15 | 44.8 | 37.6 | 30.7 | 14.2 | 6.9 | 48.2 |
| 49 | Bulgaria | efbet League | 1,373 | 2.39 | 42.8 | 43.3 | 32.0 | 10.9 | 11.4 | 45.8 |
| 50 | Argentina | Liga Profesional | 2,224 | 2.11 | 42.5 | 35.1 | 28.2 | 14.3 | 6.9 | 50.6 |
BTTS only = a 1-1 result. Over 2.5 only = three or more goals with at least one team scoring zero. Neither = not BTTS and at most two goals. Percentages are rounded to one decimal place and may not add to exactly 100% in individual rows.
Methodology and limitations
Source and period. Footiqo’s historical football match results from 1 July 2021 to 30 June 2026, using full-time goals recorded for both teams.
Selection. Only competitions classified as Domestic Leagues with at least 400 eligible matches were included. This yielded 50 leagues and 80,296 matches. Domestic cups and international club tournaments are excluded.
Measures. BTTS means both teams scored at least once. Over 2.5 means three or more combined goals. The four mutually exclusive outcome groups are evaluated using full-time results.
Weighting. Global percentages and average goals are calculated across the 80,296 matches. The correlation coefficient is calculated from 50 league-level observations, each league carrying equal weight. Data are rounded for publication.
Limitations. A common five-year date window does not cover identical season boundaries for every country. Different league structures and sample sizes affect comparisons. Correlation does not establish causality or imply that a bet has positive expected value.
Frequently asked questions
BTTS requires both teams to score at least once, while Over 2.5 requires at least three total goals. Either can happen without the other.
Switzerland’s Super League led this selected historical sample with 62.8% across 1,041 matches.
No. There is a strong league-level association, but two leagues with similar goal averages can have noticeably different BTTS rates.
Using this research
Publishers, journalists and researchers are welcome to reference these statistics and charts. Please credit Footiqo and link to this article as the original source. Data and charts reflect the historical period specified above.
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Contact Us
If you have any questions, or would like us to add specific leagues or betting markets, please contact us via our contact form or email us at support@footiqo.com. We’ll get back to you as soon as possible.